TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Islanders, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders62c6,804$4,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,586.931,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Sharks23c6,681$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.7428842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Sharks38c5,162$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Islanders80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sharks20c4,583$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.5544848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Islanders77c3,368$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.7132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks28c2,404$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.111,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Sharks39c1,442$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.3832251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Sharks23c1,391$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3221652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Islanders78c1,283$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.565757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Islanders60c1,000$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.7885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks20c910.65$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.131,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8d…4adbbacked Sharks37c888$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.561050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x242c…75bebacked Islanders63c888$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Sharks37c846.8$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks15c811.63$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.53,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Islanders78c800$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17537254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Islanders65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Sharks7c460$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.91895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Sharks38c459.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.815663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80a5…f9babacked Sharks22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4665…ccf7backed Islanders80c333.96$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.79580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c7…ae99backed Islanders62c327$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.261266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Sharks31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934725.5%12 W · 35 L-10.5wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xf735…74a7backed Sharks37c269.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sharks38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders61c255.93$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.371,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0229…c95cbacked Sharks23c255.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders58c232.16$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders61c228$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Islanders77c212.36$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.363369.7%23 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Islanders61c199.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7826547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7454…f609backed Sharks38c178$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.64742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Islanders80c172.23$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4516554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sharks17c167.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca5…f1a2backed Sharks39c164$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…1a9dbacked Sharks38c164$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.321250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1161…5abbbacked Islanders62c164$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.325100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6498…90efbacked Sharks37c163$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x43a3…2a65backed Islanders62c162$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5e…e29bbacked Sharks42c156$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.521414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.4wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-74.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8982…c934backed Sharks38c152.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Sharks40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ed…0f86backed Sharks38c149$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.62812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2d0…2498backed Islanders68c145$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x070e…ab83backed Sharks32c145$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x083d…18b0backed Sharks37c136.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…9ed4backed Sharks39c132.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Sharks38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9a…ecc2backed Sharks40c128.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.55650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16b9…db23backed Islanders63c125.22$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf816…982dbacked Sharks38c123.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders60c112.37$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Sharks24c110$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2733145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ea…c5babacked Sharks37c107.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Sharks34c104.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Sharks38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3835154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Islanders63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3750857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Sharks40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7383…9194backed Sharks40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+81.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x67fe…9ad8backed Sharks41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…414fbacked Islanders59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Sharks27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Islanders63c99.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.988145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f44…d2dfbacked Sharks42c90.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0350%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c6f…7785backed Islanders60c90.37$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93e…af9cbacked Islanders71c89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.854067.5%27 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c52…42efbacked Islanders62c88.23$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfc…ec79backed Sharks42c88.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeedb…304ebacked Islanders60c85.85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8087…ae70backed Sharks23c85.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c2…1f15backed Sharks40c83.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.551770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ff2…c1bfbacked Islanders62c81.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sharks40c80.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf19…4af4backed Islanders64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x048e…5ba7backed Islanders62c77.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8f…12f5backed Islanders60c76.78$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b23…e7ccbacked Islanders62c75.82$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.812373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Sharks37c68.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9837738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Islanders79c66.27$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.144957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Islanders61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.577749.4%38 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Sharks23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3217…2dcebacked Islanders62c65.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.771770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2fb…783fbacked Sharks40c58.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.282133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe860…f9b7backed Sharks38c57.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Islanders61c57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2360549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Islanders79c55.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.741757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Islanders58c55.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1222842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Sharks38c54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.716437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc103…81e8backed Islanders78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Sharks23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd737…71bbbacked Islanders60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Sharks41c41.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1757238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9498…d2afbacked Islanders61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.981553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Islanders60c40.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0129748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Islanders60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.228440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1205…fc58backed Sharks38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-65.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a1…6c7cbacked Sharks38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.