Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Louis vs. Loyola Chicago
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4114d6e169c99a06ec31a3e6b11e4d852ae0b181a7a064b17f67df96f8bef43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loyola Chicagoof St. Louis, Loyola Chicago
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Loyola Chicago | 36c | 4,153$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.65 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed St. Louis | 64c | 4,077$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Loyola Chicago | 45c | 3,773$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.75 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Loyola Chicago | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked St. Louis | 52c | 765.88$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.15 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Loyola Chicago | 59c | 145.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…0f06backed Loyola Chicago | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed St. Louis | 75c | 132$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Loyola Chicago | 55c | 108.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…9a1ebacked Loyola Chicago | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…b4bbbacked Loyola Chicago | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked St. Louis | 41c | 87.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked St. Louis | 41c | 52.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Loyola Chicago | 59c | 51.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…80c7backed St. Louis | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…2d8dbacked St. Louis | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178a…8dc4backed Loyola Chicago | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Loyola Chicago | 54c | 43.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fb…eb7ebacked St. Louis | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…9ac5backed Loyola Chicago | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c1…8a8fbacked Loyola Chicago | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…e883backed St. Louis | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…45adbacked St. Louis | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ca…d9f6backed St. Louis | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8d…7e41backed St. Louis | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…c1a7backed Loyola Chicago | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…78d6backed St. Louis | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…56d7backed St. Louis | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed St. Louis | 41c | 26.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Loyola Chicago | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…299bbacked St. Louis | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…cf1bbacked Loyola Chicago | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…203cbacked St. Louis | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d84…aea7backed Loyola Chicago | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf01…7973backed Loyola Chicago | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…7e01backed St. Louis | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…18cebacked St. Louis | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…2d18backed Loyola Chicago | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85dd…3194backed Loyola Chicago | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.