Euroleague · resolved market
Ningbo Rockets vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f75efa867a43dd438647bc80f3dc01461b886e1b7c5935760d52f9d684e6bc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ningbo Rocketsof Ningbo Rockets, Guangdong Southern Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ningbo Rockets | 45c | 3,814$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.03 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 75c | 1,335$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…41bbbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 72c | 1,013$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Ningbo Rockets | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 45c | 641.79$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.46 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 60c | 539$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.87 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked Ningbo Rockets | 78c | 411.33$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 57c | 303$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 44c | 297$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 13c | 295.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ningbo Rockets | 27c | 275.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…8812backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 22c | 90.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Ningbo Rockets | 47c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Ningbo Rockets | 31c | 67.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 52c | 60.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b0d2backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 63c | 56.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ningbo Rockets | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 61c | 41.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…5b1abacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 74c | 40.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Ningbo Rockets | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b0…b854backed Ningbo Rockets | 52c | 38.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…b8f0backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 45c | 28.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 64c | 26.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 61c | 20.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…1e02backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.