Euroleague · resolved market
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Shenzhen Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x310d162492f16e8ebf37de0ac0ff4e3104a41e0ff2f961558841dd312477f419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nanjing Monkey Kingof Nanjing Monkey King, Shenzhen Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Nanjing Monkey King | 25c | 999.78$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.58 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…d67abacked Shenzhen Leopards | 76c | 601.22$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shenzhen Leopards | 74c | 496.32$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.57 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 26c | 440.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 16c | 303.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.35 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shenzhen Leopards | 11c | 276.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 71c | 199.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nanjing Monkey King | 18c | 178.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.42 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Shenzhen Leopards | 74c | 158$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 11c | 137.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 43c | 123.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Nanjing Monkey King | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Nanjing Monkey King | 24c | 110$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nanjing Monkey King | 20c | 103.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nanjing Monkey King | 29c | 97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Shenzhen Leopards | 76c | 81.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nanjing Monkey King | 22c | 58.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nanjing Monkey King | 25c | 57.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nanjing Monkey King | 26c | 49.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shenzhen Leopards | 44c | 46.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shenzhen Leopards | 76c | 41.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Nanjing Monkey King | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…59fcbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Shenzhen Leopards | 73c | 26.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shenzhen Leopards | 55c | 24.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Shenzhen Leopards | 75c | 21.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.