Euroleague · resolved market
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Shanghai Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a3d3d6eb621737ecbf3f0e9c3eac7d56aada993515cbf12891b5ee97fdb0397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Sharksof Guangdong Southern Tigers, Shanghai Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 43c | 2,536$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 5c | 1,832$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 36c | 1,751$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.25 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 1c | 1,326$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Shanghai Sharks | 65c | 1,032$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 2c | 794.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Shanghai Sharks | 64c | 575.37$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Shanghai Sharks | 66c | 443.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 32c | 425.44$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Shanghai Sharks | 64c | 398.44$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 36c | 368.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.64 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 36c | 368$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Shanghai Sharks | 59c | 242.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Shanghai Sharks | 64c | 226.3$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 37c | 224.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Shanghai Sharks | 66c | 205$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 41c | 199.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Shanghai Sharks | 68c | 167.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 35c | 158.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Shanghai Sharks | 58c | 149.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 35c | 146.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Shanghai Sharks | 69c | 146.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 37c | 118.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 34c | 100.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Shanghai Sharks | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 34c | 86.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Shanghai Sharks | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 34c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shanghai Sharks | 63c | 56.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 34c | 50.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 36c | 50.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Shanghai Sharks | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Shanghai Sharks | 67c | 44.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.