UFC · resolved market
Bitlord vs. Korean Jew
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31dd48e15fac3ad2f7ea7b4ddc642cea51dc498615b0ca516fc86a562708d17e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bitlordof Bitlord, Korean Jew
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a9…838ebacked Korean Jew | 51c | 16,652$8,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,425.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Bitlord | 53c | 15,721$8,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,430.44 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…2fbdbacked Bitlord | 50c | 3,996$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Korean Jew | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Bitlord | 73c | 406.37$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…ec48backed Korean Jew | 65c | 233.72$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…4da0backed Bitlord | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10c5…264bbacked Bitlord | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…1a3dbacked Bitlord | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…07a4backed Bitlord | 42c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…c500backed Bitlord | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…12d2backed Bitlord | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…22fabacked Korean Jew | 58c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…f9d1backed Bitlord | 55c | 36.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…5b2cbacked Korean Jew | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…fd27backed Korean Jew | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…83dfbacked Korean Jew | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c6…2d05backed Korean Jew | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…3cf2backed Korean Jew | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fd…eda6backed Korean Jew | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa4…ffc7backed Bitlord | 68c | 23.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Bitlord | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bitlord vs. Korean Jewthis page
- Grimace vs. DoubleYouGrimace won
- My Mate Nate vs. Dawood SavageMy Mate Nate won
- NFT Kid vs. White Boy SummerNFT Kid won
- Phoenix Biel vs. Iron BritPhoenix Biel won
- sugaR vs. Jack.PoorsugaR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.