Euroleague · resolved market
Beijing Ducks vs. Qingdao Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f88d860447544845a87ec81fd1bfd317c4b6ff4efcbeb6c23417992ef5c1a92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Eaglesof Beijing Ducks, Qingdao Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Beijing Ducks | 50c | 10,644$5,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,322.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Qingdao Eagles | 50c | 10,594$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Beijing Ducks | 72c | 2,668$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Qingdao Eagles | 28c | 2,356$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.96 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Qingdao Eagles | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Qingdao Eagles | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Beijing Ducks | 67c | 1,497$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Beijing Ducks | 72c | 842.86$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.86 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Beijing Ducks | 54c | 419.35$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Qingdao Eagles | 32c | 360.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.23 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Qingdao Eagles | 43c | 336$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.77 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Beijing Ducks | 62c | 223.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Qingdao Eagles | 30c | 210.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Beijing Ducks | 70c | 197.22$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Qingdao Eagles | 29c | 168$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Qingdao Eagles | 26c | 163$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Beijing Ducks | 71c | 156.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Qingdao Eagles | 54c | 155$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Beijing Ducks | 74c | 148.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Ducks | 45c | 110.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Beijing Ducks | 48c | 82.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Beijing Ducks | 72c | 71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Beijing Ducks | 71c | 69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Qingdao Eagles | 30c | 66.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Beijing Ducks | 70c | 61.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Qingdao Eagles | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Qingdao Eagles | 29c | 49.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Qingdao Eagles | 34c | 47.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…ccdbbacked Qingdao Eagles | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Beijing Ducks | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beijing Ducks | 48c | 28.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Qingdao Eagles | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…5b1abacked Beijing Ducks | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Beijing Ducks | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Qingdao Eagles | 49c | 26.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.