Euroleague · resolved market
Anadolu Efes vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaebfecc32e0b1e4a65c1a9ca30438faea2e6cb29746d6979c775ac75e65c8d1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anadolu Efesof Anadolu Efes, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Anadolu Efes | 40c | 4,876$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anadolu Efes | 60c | 3,575$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.18 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valencia | 60c | 2,381$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.46 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Valencia | 40c | 1,636$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Anadolu Efes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valencia | 30c | 1,252$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.58 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Valencia | 39c | 1,200$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.19 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Valencia | 13c | 1,153$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Valencia | 1c | 978.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Valencia | 63c | 636.59$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Valencia | 26c | 626.07$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Valencia | 64c | 454.05$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Valencia | 59c | 451$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.09 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Valencia | 61c | 429.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anadolu Efes | 37c | 377.63$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Valencia | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Valencia | 40c | 310.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Valencia | 14c | 288.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…7148backed Valencia | 59c | 239.69$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valencia | 41c | 231$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Anadolu Efes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Valencia | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Anadolu Efes | 59c | 167.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Valencia | 60c | 167.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Valencia | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Anadolu Efes | 43c | 153.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Anadolu Efes | 71c | 150.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Valencia | 59c | 120.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Valencia | 45c | 118.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valencia | 59c | 118.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Valencia | 47c | 108$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Valencia | 58c | 102.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Anadolu Efes | 60c | 97.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Valencia | 63c | 88.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anadolu Efes | 73c | 87.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Anadolu Efes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Valencia | 32c | 79.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Anadolu Efes | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa358…628ebacked Valencia | 63c | 65.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Anadolu Efes | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Anadolu Efes | 39c | 50.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valencia | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Valencia | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Anadolu Efes | 58c | 48.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Valencia | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Valencia | 28c | 45.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Anadolu Efes | 39c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Anadolu Efes | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ef2dbacked Anadolu Efes | 39c | 34.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Anadolu Efes | 40c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Valencia | 31c | 32.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Anadolu Efes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Valencia | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…3835backed Anadolu Efes | 41c | 28.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…b08abacked Valencia | 63c | 27.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…f9bcbacked Anadolu Efes | 40c | 27.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…fb19backed Valencia | 61c | 27.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Anadolu Efes | 49c | 27.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…3777backed Valencia | 62c | 21.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Valencia | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78c…cf91backed Anadolu Efes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…50d8backed Valencia | 63c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Valencia | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Valencia | 61c | 16.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.