Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Jessica Pegula
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01c523bfb1493313dbc679c303febb5760a536c5f2988faa9a2cd8f10871b1fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessica Pegulaof Jaqueline Cristian, Jessica Pegula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,789 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Jaqueline Cristian | 7c | 29,114$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.79 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Jaqueline Cristian | 8c | 13,000$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.51 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Jaqueline Cristian | 5c | 3,923$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Jaqueline Cristian | 3c | 1,980$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…4015backed Jaqueline Cristian | 10c | 1,880$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jaqueline Cristian | 13c | 1,421$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…755abacked Jaqueline Cristian | 16c | 1,404$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.44 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jaqueline Cristian | 7c | 1,195$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jaqueline Cristian | 12c | 1,098$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.05 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Jaqueline Cristian | 7c | 1,009$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Jaqueline Cristian | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jaqueline Cristian | 2c | 790.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Jaqueline Cristian | 5c | 776.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Jaqueline Cristian | 2c | 769$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Jaqueline Cristian | 2c | 703.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Jaqueline Cristian | 12c | 608$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Jaqueline Cristian | 11c | 599.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jaqueline Cristian | 12c | 549.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jaqueline Cristian | 8c | 535$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Jaqueline Cristian | 2c | 521.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Jaqueline Cristian | 4c | 480.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…5d0cbacked Jaqueline Cristian | 12c | 427.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Jaqueline Cristian | 12c | 399$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Jaqueline Cristian | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…0a8ebacked Jaqueline Cristian | 9c | 310$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Jaqueline Cristian | 4c | 299.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jaqueline Cristian | 12c | 234.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Jaqueline Cristian | 9c | 222.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Jaqueline Cristian | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…e5a1backed Jaqueline Cristian | 12c | 144.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Jaqueline Cristian | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Jaqueline Cristian | 11c | 129$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Jaqueline Cristian | 12c | 124.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jaqueline Cristian | 10c | 106.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…b575backed Jaqueline Cristian | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…d7a8backed Jaqueline Cristian | 11c | 91.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Jaqueline Cristian | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Jessica Pegulathis page
- Cristian vs. Pegula: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Cristian vs. Pegula: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Cristian vs PegulaPegula won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Cristian (+1.5)Pegula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.