Euroleague · resolved market
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Virtus Bologna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e0d2df1e99c6b2c750431961f399d24354e84e590a495bb5a86854fc487dc55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Olympiacos B.C., Virtus Bologna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Virtus Bologna | 22c | 4,239$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virtus Bologna | 14c | 1,954$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.31 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Virtus Bologna | 15c | 999.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Virtus Bologna | 2c | 951.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Virtus Bologna | 14c | 550$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virtus Bologna | 16c | 340$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virtus Bologna | 14c | 300.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…db21backed Virtus Bologna | 13c | 240.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus Bologna | 14c | 210.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…57dfbacked Virtus Bologna | 13c | 187.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 169.4$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8a…ef7abacked Virtus Bologna | 13c | 145.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…55ecbacked Virtus Bologna | 15c | 138.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Virtus Bologna | 19c | 117$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Virtus Bologna | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virtus Bologna | 14c | 94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…46cebacked Virtus Bologna | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Virtus Bologna | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.