Euroleague · resolved market
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Beijing Royal Fighters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb72425199ef9b5a954589571c5d986c96991649e6a83c389fbba33fa5d24dbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Royal Fightersof Fujian Sturgeons, Beijing Royal Fighters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 53c | 4,160$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.07 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 51c | 4,106$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.52 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Fujian Sturgeons | 48c | 2,607$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 31c | 2,516$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.58 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Fujian Sturgeons | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 52c | 1,764$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.59 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Fujian Sturgeons | 48c | 1,656$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.2 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 49c | 1,404$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.58 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 56c | 1,375$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Fujian Sturgeons | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 65c | 1,165$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.19 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Fujian Sturgeons | 49c | 1,031$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 47c | 533.02$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fujian Sturgeons | 17c | 440.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fujian Sturgeons | 47c | 425.68$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 73c | 358$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 46c | 357$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 56c | 279.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 52c | 252.77$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Fujian Sturgeons | 52c | 194.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Fujian Sturgeons | 50c | 191.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Fujian Sturgeons | 47c | 170.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fujian Sturgeons | 50c | 147$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 51c | 144.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 47c | 106.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 61c | 88.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Fujian Sturgeons | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Fujian Sturgeons | 30c | 66.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Fujian Sturgeons | 39c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 60c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…615ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 52c | 55.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Fujian Sturgeons | 51c | 51.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Fujian Sturgeons | 45c | 50.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Fujian Sturgeons | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fujian Sturgeons | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Fujian Sturgeons | 47c | 49.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…926bbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 52c | 47.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Fujian Sturgeons | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 29c | 41.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9f…49b1backed Fujian Sturgeons | 52c | 40.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e66…65b9backed Fujian Sturgeons | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…5b1abacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 53c | 38.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Fujian Sturgeons | 47c | 32.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Fujian Sturgeons | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Fujian Sturgeons | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Fujian Sturgeons | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 55c | 19.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.