Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Abilene Christian Wildcats (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e7e6dabda3066fcfd164cf5ec63fd2393a85f63f7a84e10f69650b5ecb9c7ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Utah Thunderbirdsof Abilene Christian Wildcats, Southern Utah Thunderbirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $597,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $597,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 51c | 406,899$206,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,492.38 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 208,732$105,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,076.93 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 49c | 171,369$83,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,970.84 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 52c | 30,311$15,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,549.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 6,677$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 2,542$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…f776backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 49c | 305.43$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.17 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 123.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 51c | 84.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 51c | 36.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 51c | 33.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Abilene Christian Wildcats (-3.5)this page
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Southern Utah ThunderbirdsSouthern Utah Thunderbirds won
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.