TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$859,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$859,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $859,139 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c645,825$320,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325,126.1135945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under50c289,180$145,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145,482.0521754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c150,000$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,00069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under50c119,747$59,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,873.389652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,0009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Under0c66,096$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Over50c64,800$32,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,637.922646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c14,330$6,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,501.9612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under51c14,330$7,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,308.218246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under53c10,000$5,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,347.248747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1001,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c9,358$4,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,772.8190645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1b…e0e5backed Under52c8,726$4,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,570.521163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under51c5,780$2,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.616954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over49c5,050$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.589850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0805466.7%36 W · 18 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Over50c3,701$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.563348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under50c3,414$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.9513154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c3,325$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.165,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27540147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c2,192$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.971,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c1,769$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.314,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c1,317$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.111,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under52c1,038$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.541752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under54c814.81$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Under52c717.55$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.856144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed Under51c550$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2655054%27 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25019050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Under53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-53.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under48c417.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under50c391.02$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8218046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under53c380$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.413851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c367.5$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4575447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over56c326.29$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.253,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under53c315.85$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2711159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under51c289.17$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3741354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under53c287.06$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Under53c257$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.215740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under52c211.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under53c192.38$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c190.78$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.271,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Under53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-71.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under53c138.93$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.625950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.617258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under53c115.47$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.89947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under52c105.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.564322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under53c96.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under50c95.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2612341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9277…2aedbacked Under53c95.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.451450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over46c90.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3135050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b3…70c5backed Over68c88.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.581872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under53c86.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.916144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60d…2204backed Under55c81.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over50c81.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5348855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.862753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.411147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under53c78.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.376238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under49c70.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3218646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under27c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.74660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under46c63.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8615844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under52c63.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.87251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Over54c55.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.733348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked Under46c54.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.371833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under52c53.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7619653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under52c47.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9912560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under53c46.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.842133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under53c44.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.629151.6%47 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under53c42.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.395731.6%18 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over46c40.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7697447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under53c36.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Under53c33.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9912245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Under51c33.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.39257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Under30c33.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under53c29.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.712839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x620d…1464backed Under53c28.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dec…61b7backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8212…2b8bbacked Under53c28.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfd…a4b9backed Under53c27.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0e…2d99backed Under53c22.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.861216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-66%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f0f…956fbacked Under52c21.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.190%0 W · 9 L-4.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33f3…d80abacked Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.