Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28dba239ab3e4588a8a23304d7dc7b56cab8168121c5d1975796a8945de18269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $859,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $859,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $859,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 645,825$320,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325,126.11 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 50c | 289,180$145,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,482.05 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 50c | 119,747$59,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,873.38 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Under | 0c | 66,096$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Over | 50c | 64,800$32,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,637.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 14,330$6,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,501.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 51c | 14,330$7,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,308.21 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,347.24 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 9,358$4,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.81 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…e0e5backed Under | 52c | 8,726$4,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,570.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 51c | 5,780$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.6 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 5,050$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.5 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 50c | 3,701$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.56 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 50c | 3,414$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.95 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 3,325$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 2,192$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.97 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 1,769$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.31 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 1,317$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.11 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.5 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 54c | 814.81$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 52c | 717.55$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.85 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Under | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…d304backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 48c | 417.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 50c | 391.02$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 367.5$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 56c | 326.29$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.25 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 53c | 315.85$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 51c | 289.17$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Under | 53c | 287.06$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Under | 53c | 257$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.21 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 52c | 211.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under | 53c | 192.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 190.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…26febacked Under | 53c | 138.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 53c | 115.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 52c | 105.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…01cebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 50c | 95.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…2aedbacked Under | 53c | 95.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 46c | 90.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…70c5backed Over | 68c | 88.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 53c | 86.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Under | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 50c | 81.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 53c | 78.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 70.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 46c | 63.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under | 52c | 63.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 54c | 55.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Under | 46c | 54.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 52c | 53.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 52c | 47.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 53c | 46.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 53c | 44.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 53c | 42.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 46c | 40.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 53c | 36.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 53c | 33.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 51c | 33.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Under | 30c | 33.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under | 53c | 29.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…1464backed Under | 53c | 28.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…2b8bbacked Under | 53c | 28.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfd…a4b9backed Under | 53c | 27.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…2d99backed Under | 53c | 22.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…956fbacked Under | 52c | 21.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5this page
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland TerrapinsMaryland Terrapins won
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 146.5Over won
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Maryland Terrapins (-1.5)Maryland Terrapins won
- Spread: Maryland Terrapins (-2.5)Maryland Terrapins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.