TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Suns54c75,003$40,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,501.151,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Nets46c70,000$32,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,20043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets47c30,935$14,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,467.332,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Suns53c30,595$16,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,387.6666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Suns51c11,245$5,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,454.1448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets48c8,349$3,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,993.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Nets48c8,166$3,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,89841649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Suns53c6,400$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00858449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets48c6,181$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.853,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Suns53c5,808$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Nets47c5,745$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Nets49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.991,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nets47c4,721$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22276746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Suns54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Nets46c2,711$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.1942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Suns53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Nets48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Nets46c1,769$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.741,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns51c1,763$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.871,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Nets50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nets50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns53c1,423$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.8674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets49c1,340$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.6577348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nets46c1,090$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.821,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Suns52c1,042$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Suns49c1,021$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.918852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns51c985.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Nets46c952$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.9250347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd782…cb20backed Suns51c820$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Nets5c815.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6517233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Suns49c696.69$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.2535547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Suns54c605.56$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5637930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f7…2633backed Nets46c570.85$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.966947.8%33 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…6f1abacked Nets2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d5…59cebacked Nets2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Suns51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.211955.5%66 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Suns47c457$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.2111137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Suns54c415.4$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0811150.5%56 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Suns55c362.73$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2347349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Nets50c348.52$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.465650%28 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Nets47c330.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5713040%52 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x185c…f13dbacked Nets49c305$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Nets53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Suns72c280.23$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0932455.9%181 W · 143 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9e…5dabbacked Nets49c268$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ba…da13backed Nets49c247$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns53c245.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.323,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Nets47c234.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…cb29backed Nets46c202.02$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Nets49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nets47c159.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.722,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Nets46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6935444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Nets46c104.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9232952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Suns50c103.05$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.412,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nets48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Nets52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b58…7061backed Suns51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Suns55c89.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2416658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Suns52c85.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1452246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Suns51c81.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.941,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Suns54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.559144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Suns54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.542143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Nets47c60.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.536038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Nets53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308555.3%47 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets48c55.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.373,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa26f…4b98backed Suns54c55.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.144252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Suns55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.555062%31 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cb8…7529backed Suns65c53.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.942544%11 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Suns52c50.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8719748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Nets50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2571245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Suns54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2349351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Suns51c45.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.238253.7%44 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a1…3b93backed Suns54c45.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+62.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Suns47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.795244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Suns54c42.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7318051.1%92 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Nets47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Nets49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5816852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets25c41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.113,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Nets49c40.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.921,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Nets47c38.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.421,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Nets49c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1316036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Nets52c29.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2216935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Nets53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Nets49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3528852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Nets47c24.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4122655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Suns54c22.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1924454.1%132 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Suns55c20.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0712062.5%75 W · 45 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed Nets50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010551.4%54 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Suns70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.