Earnings · resolved market
Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e7cede18359a80d5613dc065dd11bb7468fec209e739f03732c78f41a271d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 46c | 3,211$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.64 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 170 | 64.1%109 W · 61 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Yes | 54c | 200.81$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed No | 59c | 182.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked No | 56c | 133.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked Yes | 54c | 113$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 49c | 109.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8a…f6a4backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…61e1backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5725…591abacked No | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…cb7fbacked Yes | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…2fc1backed No | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -60%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…9d7fbacked Yes | 49c | 53.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…7e45backed Yes | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 47c | 50.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 181 | 35.4%64 W · 117 L | -14.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…1479backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…66c7backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…1b11backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…a722backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…f5bbbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e8…637abacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…03b1backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…767bbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…9feabacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…160abacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b262backed No | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…ade6backed No | 51c | 42.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 37.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…3372backed Yes | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…4b30backed No | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…b8fdbacked No | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…bb1dbacked No | 49c | 25.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbd…6260backed Yes | 50c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…e8c3backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…7b8fbacked Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…a436backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.