Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc2547305973db412529e830c742551c324feb38f62c6c61d8d56a5583dfd2d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 2,066$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.47 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 47c | 935.76$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.54 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 616.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f54…74b4backed No | 7c | 356.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 252.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.31 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 214.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 21c | 169.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 62c | 135.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 125.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64af…748dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed No | 46c | 78.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 59.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…570cbacked Yes | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 42cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 23c | 51.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 35.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 37c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 53c | 28.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.