Tweets · resolved market
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x307ef0ed288be318c247ade8ab284073ea3b709f6ff8733bb866c887484a7c89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 19c | 241.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 130 | 14.6%19 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 39c | 212.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.85 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 51c | 155.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes | 48c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 147.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 42c | 141.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 48c | 118.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed No | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…04cebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 119 | 32.8%39 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 45c | 98.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…66bdbacked Yes | 54c | 93.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed No | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 74c | 83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 62c | 71.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 61c | 69.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 74c | 67.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 73c | 67.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 42c | 60.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…c246backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 45c | 56.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed Yes | 43c | 52.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x065d…a672backed No | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 43c | 51.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked Yes | 62c | 50.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 40c | 48.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 69c | 45.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…cca7backed Yes | 44c | 45.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 32c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…e27abacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…3975backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…08babacked No | 67c | 36.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…a3fdbacked Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…e599backed Yes | 62c | 32.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 46c | 31.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed Yes | 44c | 29.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 50c | 28.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 63c | 27.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…7a6dbacked Yes | 61c | 21.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x600d…96c1backed No | 76c | 19.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…5a20backed No | 77c | 19.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?this page
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.