Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4f1205fe7296a70a63a7a2b98961340fb5b7470ca83759639bcea13869ad03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1570…de29backed No | 12c | 1,069$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 440 | 58.2%256 W · 184 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 31c | 832.9$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.3 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…13f4backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 50c | 470.88$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.05 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 15c | 303.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9319backed Yes | 45c | 300.37$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.02 | 496 | 22.2%110 W · 386 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed No | 57c | 259.13$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 339 | 29.5%100 W · 239 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…2e11backed Yes | 66c | 249.32$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 6c | 238.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…6577backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 141 | 13.5%19 W · 122 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…7ef7backed Yes | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 17c | 187.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 12c | 187.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 13c | 178.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4710…4839backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 72c | 138.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…f60cbacked Yes | 35c | 138.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +18.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 14c | 136.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 24c | 133.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…66b0backed Yes | 34c | 131.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 30c | 128.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 20c | 124.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 11c | 109.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66c…7c32backed Yes | 55c | 109$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 28c | 104.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 35c | 101.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 28c | 99.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 92.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 73c | 90.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 49c | 87.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…9135backed No | 70c | 84.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 179 | 40.8%73 W · 106 L | +29.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 71c | 76.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 49c | 75.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…c8b1backed Yes | 58c | 74.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 66c | 74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 15c | 73.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 198 | 61.1%121 W · 77 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 70c | 71.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 42c | 70.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 403 | 37.2%150 W · 253 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…f244backed Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 71c | 68.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…3122backed Yes | 27c | 62.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 474 | 23.6%112 W · 362 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…a53fbacked No | 72c | 60.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 32c | 60.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…be0dbacked Yes | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…7dafbacked No | 72c | 55.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 43 | 81.4%35 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…079dbacked Yes | 46c | 54.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 53.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 35c | 50.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 31c | 50.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…5980backed Yes | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…4a1ebacked No | 40c | 43.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 42c | 42.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4681…583cbacked Yes | 44c | 42.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 25c | 41.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed No | 73c | 41.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 34c | 40.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 36c | 37.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 37c | 35.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 41c | 35.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Yes | 33c | 34.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 33c | 34.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…ce84backed No | 65c | 30.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 40c | 29.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 285 | 46.3%132 W · 153 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…0c2abacked No | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 40c | 28.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…ded2backed Yes | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…fababacked No | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dba…3de8backed No | 63c | 23.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 67c | 22.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…56babacked Yes | 52c | 22.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…108fbacked Yes | 50c | 21.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…b4bbbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…d295backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed No | 79c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 67c | 16.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.