South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84250a8a37762bf628c6acb847e291bf5d405c8ab6f536ecac0d78658091fd1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes | 29c | 38,442$11,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,148.16 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 10,887$7,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.68 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 71c | 8,630$6,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.7 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 8,137$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 71c | 8,063$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.27 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 6,813$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 30c | 3,301$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,255$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 2,209$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.71 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 2,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 1,949$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.92 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 1,487$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.52 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 1,271$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.71 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 798.56$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 30c | 533.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 440$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 259$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 239$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 221.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 219$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 71c | 181.62$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 71c | 167.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 71c | 161.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 71c | 150.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 71c | 136$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 135$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 71c | 118$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…f43dbacked Yes | 26c | 113.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +240.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 73c | 82.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 81.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 17c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 79c | 78.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed No | 71c | 64.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 71c | 62.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 69c | 57.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 70c | 57.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 70c | 44.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…a15fbacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 72c | 25.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 71c | 20.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 79c | 18.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 71c | 16.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked No | 71c | 15.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 76c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.