South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5498a6c76d2107d3d05b80699763a61b37dd886c8a170a8bef3903838c313a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 36c | 5,080$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.26 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 38c | 5,007$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.46 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 3,177$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.4 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 2,622$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.28 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 21c | 2,048$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.88 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 1,991$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.84 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 1,455$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.1 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,236$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.88 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 36c | 782.28$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.62 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 33c | 757.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 686.42$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.15 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 39c | 638$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 21c | 562.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 546.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 37c | 541.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 405.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 63c | 272.07$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 62c | 225$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 37c | 204.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 64c | 170$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 31c | 158.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 62c | 151$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 39c | 148.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 12c | 146$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 36c | 116.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 19c | 108.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 75c | 100.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 35c | 100.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 35c | 93.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 88.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 23c | 85.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed No | 62c | 79.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 62c | 79.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked No | 62c | 79.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 21c | 78.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 63c | 77.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 14c | 76.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 61c | 75.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…f54abacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 39c | 69.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 75c | 64.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 18c | 59.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 65c | 51.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 35c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 60c | 46.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yes | 39c | 41.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 64c | 39.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 23.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 62c | 23.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.