South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x822b14281ce28e6946dc04ace71db69d84811f30202a916e8679b1e71b851f05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 17,436$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.37 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.98 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 62c | 9,197$5,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.6 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 63c | 4,821$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.87 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 1,339$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.96 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 1,335$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.59 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 1,190$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.3 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 37c | 1,094$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.74 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed No | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 13c | 638.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 14c | 602.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 12c | 504.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 63c | 398.26$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 232.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 11c | 179.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 63c | 176$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Yes | 37c | 160.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 9c | 157$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20a…d592backed Yes | 38c | 126.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 37c | 116.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…5642backed Yes | 38c | 115$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 23c | 110.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 63c | 109.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9d…3068backed Yes | 14c | 99.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 36c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…f397backed No | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Yes | 36c | 46.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 76c | 33.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 31.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Yes | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed Yes | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked No | 62c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 63c | 18.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed No | 73c | 16.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.