La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd6dd468a202bde0069324895063508f79dc441e97642a789a0fb73327190f55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 39c | 4,800$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.95 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 4,305$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.03 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 4c | 3,976$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 61c | 3,617$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.37 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 3,379$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.92 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 5c | 3,154$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.09 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 38c | 3,119$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.03 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 2,674$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 9c | 1,475$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 6c | 1,233$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,022$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.34 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 38c | 973.22$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.39 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 61c | 878$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 843.95$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.82 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 3c | 750.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 39c | 653$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.33 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 61c | 325$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 37c | 300.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.14 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 6c | 272.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 62c | 180.85$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 74c | 175$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 12c | 137.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 136$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 85.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…fa42backed Yes | 39c | 74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 72.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 18c | 69.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 21c | 68.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed No | 62c | 53.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 42c | 52.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…7d6dbacked No | 62c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…35a6backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 39.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8a…badcbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 62c | 28.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed No | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…8f62backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?No won
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.