TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Troyes: Kilian Feldbausch vs Marvin Moeller

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marvin Moellerof Kilian Feldbausch, Marvin Moeller
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Kilian Feldbausch38c5,207$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.3711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marvin Moeller31c5,010$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,445.698,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kilian Feldbausch64c2,657$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.368,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Marvin Moeller53c1,900$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.984,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Kilian Feldbausch66c1,437$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.9182958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kilian Feldbausch57c1,317$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.68,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Marvin Moeller38c1,217$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.6922647.8%108 W · 118 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Marvin Moeller31c880.31$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.119,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Kilian Feldbausch62c544.13$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.893,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Kilian Feldbausch55c487.05$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.634,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Kilian Feldbausch50c453.34$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.141,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Marvin Moeller44c446.73$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.731,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Marvin Moeller36c436.12$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.081,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Kilian Feldbausch64c431.64$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.183,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Marvin Moeller52c425$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Marvin Moeller36c424.64$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.4396945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Marvin Moeller38c375.9$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.2345850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Kilian Feldbausch40c363.02$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.575,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Marvin Moeller54c344.08$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.722,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Marvin Moeller28c343.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.14,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Marvin Moeller38c311$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9797852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Kilian Feldbausch40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Kilian Feldbausch78c231.21$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Marvin Moeller22c223.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.197,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Marvin Moeller60c215$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.752,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Marvin Moeller44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Marvin Moeller54c188.43$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.681,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Marvin Moeller39c180$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.292138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Kilian Feldbausch56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044952.8%237 W · 212 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Kilian Feldbausch77c169.06$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.184,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Marvin Moeller67c159$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.641,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Kilian Feldbausch42c158.61$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.199244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Kilian Feldbausch43c138.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.221,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Kilian Feldbausch70c135$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.51,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Marvin Moeller35c133.31$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.651,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Marvin Moeller37c127.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.743,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Kilian Feldbausch51c119.47$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8933557%191 W · 144 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Kilian Feldbausch43c114.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Marvin Moeller55c110.92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.933,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Kilian Feldbausch36c105.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.481,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Marvin Moeller50c100.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.572,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…200bbacked Kilian Feldbausch18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.557751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Kilian Feldbausch78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7841272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Marvin Moeller22c90$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.22,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Kilian Feldbausch78c85$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.33,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked Marvin Moeller25c80.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.223536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Kilian Feldbausch42c79.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1260452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Marvin Moeller42c70.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.431,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Marvin Moeller52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Kilian Feldbausch60c67.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9936154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Kilian Feldbausch59c66.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Kilian Feldbausch78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Kilian Feldbausch62c62.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.744758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2af9…620ebacked Kilian Feldbausch78c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.81662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Kilian Feldbausch65c59.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7231855.7%177 W · 141 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Marvin Moeller51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8248552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Marvin Moeller23c57.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3454746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Kilian Feldbausch57c53.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.491,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Marvin Moeller43c53.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.491,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Marvin Moeller74c50.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.244051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Kilian Feldbausch62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kilian Feldbausch77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Kilian Feldbausch77c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.473951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Marvin Moeller39c49.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4112061.7%74 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Marvin Moeller48c48.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Marvin Moeller52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Marvin Moeller50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21bb…c5dbbacked Kilian Feldbausch28c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.564465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Kilian Feldbausch74c43.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8633048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Kilian Feldbausch55c42.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.192,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Kilian Feldbausch76c40.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.522,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Kilian Feldbausch64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.668430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Kilian Feldbausch36c39.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Kilian Feldbausch76c36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.361,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Kilian Feldbausch76c32.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9192352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Marvin Moeller37c30.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.121,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9da9…453fbacked Kilian Feldbausch78c30.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.558452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Kilian Feldbausch74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.246440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Marvin Moeller45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Marvin Moeller45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a8…1c4ebacked Kilian Feldbausch78c26.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b35…bfa7backed Kilian Feldbausch77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028265.6%185 W · 97 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Kilian Feldbausch79c25.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1320570.7%145 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Marvin Moeller52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Marvin Moeller54c21.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Kilian Feldbausch76c21.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2688…6c55backed Marvin Moeller57c20.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Kilian Feldbausch76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42fe…b1d0backed Kilian Feldbausch68c15.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.732466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Kilian Feldbausch78c13.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.