South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c093398f038750602af43ffb4b67b227921250e296740d0006f966ac551bfc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed No | 7c | 11,806$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.19 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 21c | 4,678$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.47 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 17c | 3,150$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 6c | 2,913$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 5c | 2,629$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 23c | 2,609$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.18 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 5c | 2,307$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 9c | 2,270$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 17c | 2,141$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 12c | 1,603$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.87 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 16c | 1,484$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.36 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 12c | 1,199$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 7c | 1,144$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed No | 13c | 1,125$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 7c | 1,110$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 206 | 55.8%115 W · 91 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 16c | 1,024$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 1,362 | 49.8%678 W · 684 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 16c | 832.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 1,678 | 50.8%853 W · 825 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 21c | 782.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +23.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 17c | 755.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 828 | 34.5%286 W · 542 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked No | 15c | 732.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 6c | 679.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 466 | 46.4%216 W · 250 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 16c | 486.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 9c | 436.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 7c | 405$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 8c | 358.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 6c | 337$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 8c | 304.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 389 | 39.6%154 W · 235 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed No | 10c | 300.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 8c | 161$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 16c | 152.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked No | 9c | 116$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…2c97backed No | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…e954backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 78c | 88.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed No | 19c | 86.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…e41bbacked No | 19c | 76.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed No | 15c | 75.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 16c | 74.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…bf99backed No | 16c | 73.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 78c | 56.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 172 | 64%110 W · 62 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 80c | 50.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 79c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-27?this page
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-05-27?No won
- Will Fluminense FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.