TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Santos FCof Santos FC, CD Cuenca
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Santos FC47c46,620$21,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,740.1629446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed CD Cuenca53c18,375$9,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,738.762,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed CD Cuenca53c7,487$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,967.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked CD Cuenca53c3,493$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.45736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed CD Cuenca54c2,000$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0701,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed CD Cuenca53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84824855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Santos FC51c1,209$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.7640442.1%170 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked CD Cuenca53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63613059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked CD Cuenca53c1,147$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.011776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+36.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Santos FC55c1,136$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.524766%163 W · 84 L+27.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked CD Cuenca54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked CD Cuenca45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45033745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed CD Cuenca56c999.64$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.820046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Santos FC44c944.64$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5295660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Santos FC53c844.75$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.095,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked CD Cuenca53c830.19$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed CD Cuenca53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37116558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed CD Cuenca53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked CD Cuenca51c588.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed CD Cuenca53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26519559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked CD Cuenca50c477.96$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.733,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed CD Cuenca53c460$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.822457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed CD Cuenca53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21228851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed CD Cuenca53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21223056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed CD Cuenca53c382.64$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5912945%58 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed CD Cuenca54c376.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.082,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a5…b591backed CD Cuenca53c376.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.561687.5%14 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+53.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked CD Cuenca54c369.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.11,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Santos FC44c301.42$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7621844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked CD Cuenca53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked CD Cuenca53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15924956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked CD Cuenca53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked CD Cuenca53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed CD Cuenca53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15918358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed CD Cuenca53c296.51$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.153243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked CD Cuenca53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked CD Cuenca56c264.29$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-76.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Santos FC49c262$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.621,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed CD Cuenca53c260$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked CD Cuenca53c260$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Santos FC46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3931745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Santos FC68c209.98$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.032,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed CD Cuenca54c190.9$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2723549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked CD Cuenca53c188.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.817244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed CD Cuenca53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed CD Cuenca51c156.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5133560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Santos FC44c156$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3617049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked CD Cuenca53c156$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked CD Cuenca53c156$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6820360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Santos FC59c148.29$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.877151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed CD Cuenca53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed CD Cuenca56c106$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3670055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed CD Cuenca55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed CD Cuenca53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5324257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed CD Cuenca53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5315560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked CD Cuenca53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5318959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed CD Cuenca51c96.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0865058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Santos FC44c87.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7827855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed CD Cuenca53c84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5217255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked CD Cuenca53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed CD Cuenca51c77.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed CD Cuenca52c77.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.351,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed CD Cuenca52c74.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Santos FC45c61.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.092653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked CD Cuenca51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.641654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed CD Cuenca49c55.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1810450%52 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked CD Cuenca50c54.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.045650%28 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed CD Cuenca50c54.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.041346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked CD Cuenca56c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed CD Cuenca56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Santos FC51c52.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.098,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed CD Cuenca53c47.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.053,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…2d8dbacked CD Cuenca53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed CD Cuenca52c40.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.642572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed CD Cuenca52c40.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.646159%36 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed CD Cuenca52c40.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.647761%47 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ac…e602backed CD Cuenca52c40.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.641258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed CD Cuenca53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.211747.9%56 W · 61 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed CD Cuenca53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.213465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed CD Cuenca53c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6729752.9%157 W · 140 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed CD Cuenca53c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6338861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CD Cuenca55c36.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1172450.6%366 W · 358 L-24.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed CD Cuenca56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Santos FC45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.259826.5%26 W · 72 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed CD Cuenca53c34.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.375244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Santos FC45c33.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.142646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed CD Cuenca52c28.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9112948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed CD Cuenca53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.255152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Santos FC59c24.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.092744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked CD Cuenca53c21.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3328665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked CD Cuenca53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.611459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Santos FC60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.