South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec026dfdc549462d09c74128ac288246ef9ff4c123cea88115bcb6be4d52e0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 19c | 7,734$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.32 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 5,568$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 3c | 1,793$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Over | 5c | 1,530$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 17c | 1,331$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.94 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 37c | 1,200$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.32 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 39c | 1,090$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.27 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 79c | 1,000$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.9 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 935.95$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.21 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 19c | 913.63$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.53 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 25c | 612.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Over | 38c | 555$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 38c | 461.94$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.36 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 69c | 358$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 18c | 329$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Over | 20c | 142.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 32c | 110.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 62c | 92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Under | 14c | 89.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 39c | 76.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 24c | 71.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 26c | 60.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 71c | 36.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 70c | 31.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 29.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 75c | 28.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 45c | 23.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…ce7dbacked Under | 64c | 22.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 3.5this page
- Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Santos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.