South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9afa4e42590d593dde426b3bd74c1f1d9e50ffab2dd586dec6c8f2082b7d7dcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 66c | 2,802$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.3 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,922$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 58c | 1,207$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.95 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 1,050$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 49c | 590.36$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Over | 44c | 443$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 61c | 268.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 38c | 258.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 57c | 216.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 34c | 212.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 196.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 58c | 180.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 51c | 159.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 122.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 119.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 69c | 109.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 56c | 98.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…6e29backed Over | 59c | 94.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 90.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over | 61c | 78.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 59c | 43.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 43c | 39.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 51c | 39.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 55c | 35.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Under | 46c | 32.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 53c | 31.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 52c | 30.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 29.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 76c | 28.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 56c | 25.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82fc…ed4ebacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 60c | 17.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 2.5this page
- Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Santos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.