South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d5429a3dd6f7e799df6220b391ac6e9e93c6da2144700ec3995d5634b0ef74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 30c | 8,290$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.93 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 2c | 6,119$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 70c | 6,105$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 5c | 2,139$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 31c | 1,936$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.2 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 70c | 1,468$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.52 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yes | 75c | 1,055$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.41 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed No | 8c | 643.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 30c | 628$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed No | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 70c | 544$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 517$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 8c | 473$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 25c | 450.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed No | 7c | 421.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 416$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 11c | 403.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 391.39$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked No | 26c | 384.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 75c | 340.04$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…2c97backed No | 30c | 316.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 308.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…0740backed No | 29c | 291.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 7c | 284$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…e5b8backed Yes | 71c | 280.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 71c | 260.44$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 29c | 255.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 23c | 239.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 74c | 205.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 7c | 191$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked No | 26c | 187.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 74c | 160.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 71c | 158.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 7c | 153.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…b573backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 31c | 137.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 27c | 135$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes | 71c | 129.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 75c | 128.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 29c | 126.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 30c | 119.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 74c | 116.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 105.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed No | 14c | 105.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 25c | 100.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 72c | 84.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…e954backed No | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 74c | 65.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 27c | 58.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 69c | 56.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf32…6cf3backed No | 30c | 55.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Yes | 74c | 49.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes | 74c | 38.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 72c | 37.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 29c | 35.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…ae0dbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccd…017cbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Yes | 72c | 23.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…0502backed Yes | 72c | 22.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 71c | 21.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…e356backed Yes | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 73c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4b…b7aabacked Yes | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-27?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-05-27?No won
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.