TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No24c4,118$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.895,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes67c3,001$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.973250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes59c2,893$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.881,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No54c2,854$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.956864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c2,115$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.451,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No7c2,070$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No12c2,035$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.69122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No60c1,953$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.0214570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes38c1,876$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.313,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No31c1,029$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0415424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes26c893.51$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.052,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes26c805$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.72821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c747.13$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.938,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No58c684.11$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0421640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes66c661.95$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2337540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No34c582.62$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7521765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes63c577.12$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9336339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No31c499.12$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7525044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No26c440.05$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.512434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No60c388$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3510875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No36c313.8$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5941145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6080%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No36c262.14$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.111,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed No13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No74c221.08$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.62369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d7…f1dbbacked Yes52c193.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.461050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.317034.3%24 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes65c189.26$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.171,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Yes52c182.83$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.532744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes55c168.2$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.041,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No8c157.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Yes46c151.26$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-56.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No64c149.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.718359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes66c134.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1710667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No30c131.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked No31c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.37741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes80c121.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.352268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab77…be6abacked Yes71c119.62$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.61668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No78c106.28$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.911763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No75c106$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes47c101$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed No12c95.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53560%21 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No69c86.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605671.4%40 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes61c83.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.218833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No23c83.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1742946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes42c77.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8621538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes33c76.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.31838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes25c72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No17c68.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8729047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes73c68.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.66251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac7b…7cebbacked Yes59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ead…0b4dbacked No45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes52c66.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9713451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No77c63.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.541,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0348…3d81backed Yes35c62.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.742544%11 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No75c59.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.973554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No59c58.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes58c57.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0563657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes45c55.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.345650%28 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1557540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes54c49.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.889452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Yes31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.391747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes62c48.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.373372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+45.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes62c48.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.172378.3%18 W · 5 L+6.2wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+93%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked No56c43.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.563756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No51c41.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Yes37c40.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.282646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfac8…3cf5backed Yes49c37.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No78c35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde4d…df45backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes32c33.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9215247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce1…7572backed Yes45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed No78c32.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes55c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6530858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No72c29.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.266412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes48c26.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.891,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x022d…afcbbacked No75c26.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes44c25.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1116864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No62c25.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.720065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes65c22.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.765455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Yes67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.394862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Yes59c20.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc4…cc49backed Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed No72c14.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.281752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d16…addabacked Yes80c13.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked No73c13.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.