Tennis · resolved market
Iasi Open, Qualification: Caroline Werner vs Ilinca Amariei
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72119a26133399b190f5bdf1142ec4ab3a72ce864930aca43dec0818a8c99215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilinca Amarieiof Caroline Werner, Ilinca Amariei
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ilinca Amariei | 13c | 30,000$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,125.81 | 392 | 49.7%195 W · 197 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Caroline Werner | 43c | 10,500$4,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,538.47 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Ilinca Amariei | 20c | 5,527$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.28 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Caroline Werner | 80c | 3,727$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.6 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ilinca Amariei | 21c | 3,542$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.11 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Caroline Werner | 46c | 1,734$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.11 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Caroline Werner | 14c | 1,443$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Caroline Werner | 79c | 1,409$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.47 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Caroline Werner | 41c | 1,386$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.82 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Caroline Werner | 5c | 1,245$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…c7e6backed Caroline Werner | 80c | 1,125$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilinca Amariei | 43c | 1,101$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.33 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Caroline Werner | 2c | 1,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Caroline Werner | 17c | 1,003$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Caroline Werner | 80c | 992.95$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.36 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ilinca Amariei | 42c | 979.74$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.93 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Caroline Werner | 48c | 947.98$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.08 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…d7c8backed Caroline Werner | 80c | 875$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Caroline Werner | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Caroline Werner | 80c | 849.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Ilinca Amariei | 36c | 806.12$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.31 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Caroline Werner | 68c | 753.64$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.19 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Caroline Werner | 43c | 589.81$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.51 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Ilinca Amariei | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 372 | 21.5%80 W · 292 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Ilinca Amariei | 14c | 565.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.28 | 375 | 34.9%131 W · 244 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Ilinca Amariei | 35c | 565$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.34 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Caroline Werner | 10c | 549.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 694 | 29.8%207 W · 487 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Ilinca Amariei | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 744 | 38.7%288 W · 456 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ilinca Amariei | 57c | 446.88$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.87 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ilinca Amariei | 22c | 400$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.27 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Caroline Werner | 60c | 399.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Caroline Werner | 79c | 391.28$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.1 | 169 | 67.5%114 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Caroline Werner | 30c | 337.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Caroline Werner | 32c | 318$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ilinca Amariei | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Caroline Werner | 72c | 278.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Caroline Werner | 78c | 273.73$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.51 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Ilinca Amariei | 36c | 263.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.39 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Caroline Werner | 79c | 254.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Ilinca Amariei | 29c | 252.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Caroline Werner | 39c | 238.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 333 | 63.1%210 W · 123 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Caroline Werner | 18c | 219.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Ilinca Amariei | 71c | 210.19$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Ilinca Amariei | 60c | 209.65$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Caroline Werner | 46c | 206.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Ilinca Amariei | 21c | 181.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…bdc7backed Ilinca Amariei | 47c | 175.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Ilinca Amariei | 18c | 169.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 837 | 47.6%398 W · 439 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ilinca Amariei | 35c | 166.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Caroline Werner | 74c | 165.83$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Caroline Werner | 29c | 156.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Ilinca Amariei | 29c | 146.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Caroline Werner | 71c | 140.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Caroline Werner | 73c | 137.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Ilinca Amariei | 37c | 134.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ilinca Amariei | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Caroline Werner | 36c | 124.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ilinca Amariei | 43c | 118.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ilinca Amariei | 36c | 112.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Caroline Werner | 46c | 109.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…ff33backed Caroline Werner | 80c | 106.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Caroline Werner | 78c | 101.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Caroline Werner | 47c | 91.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Caroline Werner | 79c | 85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Caroline Werner | 16c | 83.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Caroline Werner | 80c | 82.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…fcf3backed Caroline Werner | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Ilinca Amariei | 61c | 71.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Ilinca Amariei | 21c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Caroline Werner | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Caroline Werner | 52c | 63.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Caroline Werner | 78c | 62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Ilinca Amariei | 20c | 60.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Caroline Werner | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 857 | 49.7%426 W · 431 L | +22.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Ilinca Amariei | 52c | 59.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Ilinca Amariei | 22c | 56.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Ilinca Amariei | 72c | 56.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Ilinca Amariei | 36c | 53.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…ac0bbacked Ilinca Amariei | 71c | 50.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 104 | 69.2%72 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Caroline Werner | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Ilinca Amariei | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e01…6a89backed Caroline Werner | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Caroline Werner | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,084 | 52.6%570 W · 514 L | +31.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Caroline Werner | 80c | 49.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Caroline Werner | 79c | 44.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ilinca Amariei | 53c | 44.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…266bbacked Caroline Werner | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Caroline Werner | 78c | 43.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Ilinca Amariei | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…ed1cbacked Ilinca Amariei | 64c | 38.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…9cadbacked Caroline Werner | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Caroline Werner | 78c | 34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…00ebbacked Caroline Werner | 80c | 33.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Caroline Werner | 74c | 32.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 252 | 59.9%151 W · 101 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Caroline Werner | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Caroline Werner | 57c | 29.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…45ecbacked Caroline Werner | 80c | 28.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…4e1abacked Caroline Werner | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7a…bdf2backed Caroline Werner | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…fc7ebacked Caroline Werner | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iasi Open, Qualification: Caroline Werner vs Ilinca Amarieithis page
- Set 2 Winner: Werner vs AmarieiAmariei won
- Set Handicap: Werner (-1.5) vs Amariei (+1.5)Amariei won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.