MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9954c308c990fcb827bb710bac64fcd8ab823cd51e913e3e35fdebc537e6c9f1

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Metsof New York Yankees, New York Mets
Resolved: Mar 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,845 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed New York Yankees	0c	5,885$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.73	392	9.4%37 W · 355 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked New York Mets	59c	1,308$772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.32	981	49.8%489 W · 492 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed New York Mets	58c	1,215$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.65	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed New York Yankees	44c	1,143$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	149	53%79 W · 70 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked New York Mets	64c	1,118$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.95	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed New York Mets	57c	1,091$619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.01	408	46.1%188 W · 220 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed New York Yankees	46c	800$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed New York Yankees	22c	760.03$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.07	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked New York Yankees	43c	753$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.11	143	28.7%41 W · 102 L	-11.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked New York Mets	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked New York Yankees	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New York Yankees	42c	441.92$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.55	465	47.1%219 W · 246 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked New York Mets	72c	427.25$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.1	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed New York Yankees	28c	374.38$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.08	555	41.4%230 W · 325 L	-26.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed New York Mets	59c	367.51$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.63	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed New York Mets	56c	299$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.48	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed New York Mets	57c	250$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.5	1,483	50.2%745 W · 738 L	+5.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed New York Yankees	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	665	51.1%340 W · 325 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees	30c	237.95$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed New York Yankees	43c	237.69$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	133	51.9%69 W · 64 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees	61c	231.91$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.36	1,865	52%970 W · 895 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets	38c	200$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked New York Yankees	44c	199.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	2,261	45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed New York Yankees	46c	199.6$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.07	770	50.5%389 W · 381 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed New York Yankees	45c	159.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed New York Yankees	44c	150$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+8.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed New York Yankees	25c	128.13$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.62	447	45.6%204 W · 243 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked New York Yankees	41c	112.2$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+6.4wins	+0.25per pick	48cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked New York Yankees	50c	112$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.52	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed New York Mets	56c	105$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.39	205	48.3%99 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed New York Yankees	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked New York Yankees	41c	88$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.43	832	48%399 W · 433 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed New York Mets	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed New York Yankees	45c	79.8$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.91	352	40.3%142 W · 210 L	-23.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked New York Yankees	46c	77$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.42	256	48%123 W · 133 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed New York Mets	55c	74.99$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.75	840	49.4%415 W · 425 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed New York Yankees	43c	58.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed New York Yankees	32c	57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.27	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed New York Mets	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	1,168	49%572 W · 596 L	+17.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked New York Mets	57c	52.64$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.64	509	49.5%252 W · 257 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked New York Yankees	46c	52.17$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	312	50%156 W · 156 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed New York Yankees	42c	48.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.42	1,466	44.1%647 W · 819 L	+44.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked New York Yankees	44c	47.78$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	899	50.6%455 W · 444 L	-24.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed New York Yankees	41c	47.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x66ec…5891backed New York Yankees	41c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed New York Mets	53c	37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.39	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked New York Yankees	32c	34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed New York Yankees	38c	33.16$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.57	841	22.7%191 W · 650 L	-81.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked New York Yankees	39c	31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	103	53.4%55 W · 48 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed New York Yankees	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-5.4wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-29%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xacbc…f6bfbacked New York Yankees	46c	24.65$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked New York Mets	60c	16.94$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.82	639	42.7%273 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market