Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Nina Sozaonova vs Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc47c7fdc0ef5b9cba75ea1376be1dd3b8b8d11afdd9e8b7eac3b1af8a83785bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sandugash Kenzhibayevaof Nina Sozaonova, Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 36c | 85,456$30,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,758.14 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nina Sozaonova | 64c | 72,598$46,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,524.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nina Sozaonova | 64c | 4,141$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.88 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Nina Sozaonova | 8c | 1,916$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.48 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nina Sozaonova | 64c | 1,523$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.11 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nina Sozaonova | 64c | 1,377$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.62 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 55c | 767.4$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Nina Sozaonova | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 54c | 546.28$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…51bfbacked Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 37c | 513.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.98 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Nina Sozaonova | 66c | 449.22$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Nina Sozaonova | 45c | 383.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.31 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Nina Sozaonova | 49c | 323.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Nina Sozaonova | 48c | 312.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 71c | 297.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Nina Sozaonova | 61c | 296.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nina Sozaonova | 19c | 272.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nina Sozaonova | 51c | 252$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…2a28backed Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 52c | 243.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 50c | 233.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7610…e332backed Nina Sozaonova | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nina Sozaonova | 63c | 229.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.58 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Nina Sozaonova | 64c | 220.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Nina Sozaonova | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Nina Sozaonova | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Nina Sozaonova | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Nina Sozaonova | 48c | 199.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Nina Sozaonova | 64c | 196$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Nina Sozaonova | 62c | 196$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nina Sozaonova | 65c | 181.34$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Nina Sozaonova | 64c | 180.37$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 244 | 60.2%147 W · 97 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nina Sozaonova | 63c | 179.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Nina Sozaonova | 48c | 124.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Nina Sozaonova | 64c | 105.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Nina Sozaonova | 53c | 102.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Nina Sozaonova | 41c | 98.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 49c | 96.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 59c | 92.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Nina Sozaonova | 62c | 91.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Nina Sozaonova | 53c | 88.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Nina Sozaonova | 49c | 82.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Nina Sozaonova | 48c | 76.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Nina Sozaonova | 63c | 58.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Nina Sozaonova | 48c | 52.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Nina Sozaonova | 47c | 48.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Nina Sozaonova | 48c | 47.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 51c | 47.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Nina Sozaonova | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 58c | 43.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Nina Sozaonova | 48c | 31.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Nina Sozaonova | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nina Sozaonova | 41c | 26.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Nina Sozaonova | 70c | 24.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nina Sozaonova | 56c | 23.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Nina Sozaonova | 69c | 23.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked Nina Sozaonova | 49c | 22.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 51c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nina Sozaonova | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Nina Sozaonova | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | 78c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Nina Sozaonova | 67c | 15.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.