TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7610…e332

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
ITF Gran Canaria: Berfu Cengiz vs Francesca Curmibacked Berfu Cengiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicakbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ITF Gran Canaria: Maria Garcia Cid vs Berfu Cengizbacked Berfu Cengiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.64
The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
The Memphis Classic: Darja Vidmanova vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$15.97
Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontamabacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Liberec: Hynek Barton vs Andrej Nedicbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$17.83
San Marino: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Mariabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.03
Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstatbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watsonbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ITF Horb: Charo Esquiva Banuls vs Lea Nilssonbacked Charo Esquiva Banuls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Hynek Bartonbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Segovia: Matteo Martineau vs Yanki Erelbacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
ITF Amstetten: Anna Siskova vs Anastasiya Sobolievabacked Anna Siskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
ITF Vacaria: Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva vs Carolina Alvesbacked Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$18.88
Palermo (Doubles): Abbagnato/Tona vs Mcadoo/Nagybacked Mcadoo/Nagy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$12.82
Bloomfield Hills: Borna Gojo vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.88
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$148.68
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.08
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.34
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$69.95
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$46.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$26.69
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.68
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$38.88
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+57%+$5.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$26.07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$34.06
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.01
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$4.83
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$6.75
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 21 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$183.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.