Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c4c601abe5243432dea2f50e04e77000ed4e40e708b15f07d4d38c44917880b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 43c | 887.58$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.61 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 51c | 395.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 36c | 378.9$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.88 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 61c | 262.36$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.35 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 54c | 255.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…2ff7backed No | 38c | 204.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 48c | 192.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 51c | 182.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 63c | 176.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 57c | 172.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 61c | 164.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 62c | 161.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 157$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7610…e332backed No | 63c | 153.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 38c | 141.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 547 | 35.5%194 W · 353 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 39c | 138.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed No | 38c | 131.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 129.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed No | 57c | 115.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…46f0backed Yes | 70c | 113.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 108$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 94.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 37c | 92.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 58c | 90.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 52c | 79.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 43c | 77.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 68.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 55c | 65.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 39c | 60.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 41c | 60.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 59c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 48c | 56.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 27c | 55.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 41c | 53.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed Yes | 62c | 53.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 63c | 52.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed No | 25c | 51.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -17.1wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 27-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…8929backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 49.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 39c | 47.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 64c | 46.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 41c | 46.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8792backed No | 39c | 43.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 69c | 42.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 43c | 38.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes | 56c | 36.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 299 | 48.2%144 W · 155 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 41c | 36.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed Yes | 42c | 35.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 335 | 50.4%169 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 36c | 34.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…140fbacked Yes | 60c | 33.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…395bbacked Yes | 37c | 32.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 336 | 28.9%97 W · 239 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 36c | 32.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…646cbacked Yes | 33c | 30.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…fccdbacked Yes | 80c | 30.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 28.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…0abdbacked Yes | 65c | 28.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94de…e3cabacked No | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…0f66backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…3b13backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…b08bbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.