Tennis · resolved market
ITF Horb: Charo Esquiva Banuls vs Lea Nilsson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa2e16c4e716c65ceb73b81465a5e05a621888c1478737d490ce3dda2bb1bef1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lea Nilssonof Charo Esquiva Banuls, Lea Nilsson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lea Nilsson | 64c | 3,859$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.13 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charo Esquiva Banuls | 35c | 3,462$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Charo Esquiva Banuls | 43c | 1,291$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lea Nilsson | 57c | 1,196$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.44 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Charo Esquiva Banuls | 16c | 745.51$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lea Nilsson | 59c | 558.74$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.34 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Charo Esquiva Banuls | 43c | 288.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lea Nilsson | 72c | 246$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Lea Nilsson | 65c | 230$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Lea Nilsson | 79c | 227$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Charo Esquiva Banuls | 13c | 203.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Charo Esquiva Banuls | 36c | 189.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Charo Esquiva Banuls | 42c | 94.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Charo Esquiva Banuls | 44c | 86.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lea Nilsson | 59c | 85.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Charo Esquiva Banuls | 41c | 79.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7610…e332backed Charo Esquiva Banuls | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Charo Esquiva Banuls | 41c | 60.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Lea Nilsson | 76c | 53.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Charo Esquiva Banuls | 38c | 51.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Lea Nilsson | 58c | 50.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Charo Esquiva Banuls | 34c | 47.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Charo Esquiva Banuls | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lea Nilsson | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Charo Esquiva Banuls | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Charo Esquiva Banuls | 46c | 27.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Lea Nilsson | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Lea Nilsson | 79c | 16.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015c…9fe3backed Lea Nilsson | 75c | 15.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lea Nilsson | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.