Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstetten: Anna Siskova vs Anastasiya Sobolieva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26076684fc8b64ee8dbccbfcdb124d3256a2e7cb34efed399109a28090ef4604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anna Siskovaof Anna Siskova, Anastasiya Sobolieva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anna Siskova | 14c | 5,445$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed Anna Siskova | 37c | 1,995$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.61 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 64c | 1,436$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.04 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anna Siskova | 55c | 1,046$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.43 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 42c | 1,029$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.21 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 77c | 648.05$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 13c | 361.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Anna Siskova | 66c | 300.14$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 59c | 249.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Siskova | 60c | 246.82$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Anna Siskova | 42c | 243.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Anna Siskova | 42c | 230.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 42c | 207.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Anna Siskova | 12c | 130.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Anna Siskova | 40c | 104.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Anna Siskova | 42c | 97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Anna Siskova | 18c | 95.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 40c | 85.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Anna Siskova | 26c | 81.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7610…e332backed Anna Siskova | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Anna Siskova | 39c | 65.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Anna Siskova | 29c | 46.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 67c | 32.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Anna Siskova | 54c | 32.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 62c | 18.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…be1cbacked Anna Siskova | 60c | 18.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.