Tennis · resolved market
Swedish Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272b3bb88f4190b47a0ca7214ba87b763447204e120ae5e24e52c8eccc1323d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thiago Agustin Tiranteof Sebastian Ofner, Thiago Agustin Tirante
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 59c | 25,520$14,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,553.45 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sebastian Ofner | 4c | 17,627$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.66 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 58c | 12,044$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,043.96 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 10,040$4,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261.28 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 6,357$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.68 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 5,608$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.62 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 4,687$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.7 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 4,086$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.64 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 3,680$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.17 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 60c | 3,559$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.76 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Sebastian Ofner | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Sebastian Ofner | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 68c | 2,533$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.84 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 18c | 1,889$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 1,829$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.13 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 1,663$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.2 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Sebastian Ofner | 28c | 1,500$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 1,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.55 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 1,500$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.8 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 1,251$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.12 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Ofner | 22c | 1,208$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.98 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 68c | 1,115$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.68 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…ce7abacked Sebastian Ofner | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe421…6e77backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 59c | 873.15$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Sebastian Ofner | 23c | 811.01$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 59c | 753.2$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.31 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 58c | 637.93$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.93 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 59c | 629$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 625$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.25 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 610$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Sebastian Ofner | 16c | 588.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 536.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 501.53$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Sebastian Ofner | 43c | 466$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 462.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.82 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 75c | 440.65$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 26c | 324.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Sebastian Ofner | 5c | 314$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 59c | 306.78$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sebastian Ofner | 20c | 300.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 44c | 280$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…1ae3backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 68c | 270$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 74c | 267$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 260.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sebastian Ofner | 32c | 260.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 59c | 250.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 117 | 65%76 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sebastian Ofner | 18c | 240.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 204.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Sebastian Ofner | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Sebastian Ofner | 16c | 195.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 184$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…3ad7backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Sebastian Ofner | 18c | 163.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Sebastian Ofner | 24c | 155.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 175 | 54.3%95 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…178bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 144.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 136.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c6…4b4bbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 60c | 135$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a38bbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 80c | 133.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…a3c7backed Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa59…d4cebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 60c | 113.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 108.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 103.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 59c | 101.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 100.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7d3dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 59c | 91.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Sebastian Ofner | 44c | 88.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e38…e544backed Sebastian Ofner | 26c | 88.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 79.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…c160backed Sebastian Ofner | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Sebastian Ofner | 20c | 78.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 77c | 74.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Sebastian Ofner | 18c | 73.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 58c | 72.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Sebastian Ofner | 44c | 69.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swedish Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Thiago Agustin Tirantethis page
- Ofner vs. Tirante: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ofner vs TiranteTirante won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.