TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Julia Riera vs Fiona Crawley

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fiona Crawleyof Julia Riera, Fiona Crawley
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,472 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Fiona Crawley59c12,048$7,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,971.628,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Julia Riera70c6,049$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,26071729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1c0…ecf1backed Julia Riera38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2807625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d56…2cc5backed Julia Riera33c5,818$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.541338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Fiona Crawley63c4,161$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.156,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fiona Crawley47c3,806$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.5311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Julia Riera15c3,755$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.844,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Julia Riera30c2,202$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.868,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Julia Riera31c1,714$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.4624245%109 W · 133 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Fiona Crawley50c1,667$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.145,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fiona Crawley21c1,533$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.663,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Julia Riera57c1,223$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021046.2%97 W · 113 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Julia Riera54c1,177$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.6579855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Fiona Crawley73c1,156$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.4616059.4%95 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Julia Riera78c1,141$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.824,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Fiona Crawley49c1,101$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.544,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Julia Riera32c1,049$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.294,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Julia Riera14c999$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.869,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Julia Riera53c943.34$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.971,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c7c…0ec9backed Julia Riera65c900$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Julia Riera29c895.63$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.852,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Fiona Crawley34c887.6$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.117442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Julia Riera42c740.7$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.491,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Julia Riera79c740.04$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.9144448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fiona Crawley59c687.01$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.884,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fiona Crawley65c611$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.244,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Julia Riera58c600.59$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.936545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Julia Riera51c524.99$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.751,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Fiona Crawley62c516.13$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1346155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Julia Riera55c493.71$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0953043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Fiona Crawley62c489.29$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.344758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Julia Riera42c478.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.921,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Fiona Crawley50c464$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23245256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Julia Riera36c448$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.291,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Julia Riera44c426$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6438952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Fiona Crawley49c372.72$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0943353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Fiona Crawley48c324.77$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8814246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Julia Riera48c314.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.044,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Fiona Crawley48c312.79$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.795850%29 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Fiona Crawley72c290.13$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1346453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fiona Crawley39c273.27$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.484,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5995…53b3backed Julia Riera28c257.43$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.837848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Fiona Crawley70c240$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.464065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Julia Riera42c237.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.862,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Fiona Crawley35c233.66$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.761,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Julia Riera42c230.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8810648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Julia Riera48c225.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.321,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fiona Crawley53c218.76$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Fiona Crawley76c209.2$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4647274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Julia Riera24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Fiona Crawley50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025051.2%128 W · 122 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Julia Riera12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Julia Riera42c196.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6748842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Julia Riera16c193.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.926645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fiona Crawley48c193.12$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.116,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Julia Riera41c193.08$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7928348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Julia Riera48c176.74$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8473748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Fiona Crawley52c176.4$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6758857.7%339 W · 249 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Fiona Crawley41c165.31$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.216,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Fiona Crawley31c157.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.897231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Julia Riera47c146.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.567,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Julia Riera55c145.6$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.539824.5%24 W · 74 L-16.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Fiona Crawley30c136.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.673,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Julia Riera68c133.87$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.042,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Fiona Crawley56c130$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.22,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Fiona Crawley59c124.88$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.461,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Fiona Crawley65c121.51$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7449658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Julia Riera39c115.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x974a…8efdbacked Julia Riera27c114.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.992842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Julia Riera49c114.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.555032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Fiona Crawley51c108.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4643553.1%231 W · 204 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd729…7ef2backed Fiona Crawley48c108.79$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.578450%42 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Julia Riera47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016833.9%57 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Julia Riera49c103.57$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.652,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Fiona Crawley34c101.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6643444.9%195 W · 239 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Fiona Crawley50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5035457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Julia Riera40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.694447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Julia Riera46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.331,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Fiona Crawley49c99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4996844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Julia Riera60c98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.81,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Fiona Crawley51c93.04$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.911,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Julia Riera57c91$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6127240.4%110 W · 162 L-25.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x12b5…f3cbbacked Fiona Crawley37c90.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.045639.3%22 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Julia Riera50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Julia Riera61c82.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0443950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Julia Riera59c82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3559253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Fiona Crawley52c81.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1533558.5%196 W · 139 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Fiona Crawley60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Fiona Crawley50c78.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.221,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Fiona Crawley65c76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.651457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd5b…3b06backed Fiona Crawley47c74.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.178654.7%47 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Julia Riera56c72.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Julia Riera35c71.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543336.7%159 W · 274 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Julia Riera44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.82,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Fiona Crawley38c66.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7343054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed Julia Riera52c64.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.218433.2%61 W · 123 L-40.4wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.3%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x440e…d53cbacked Fiona Crawley49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Fiona Crawley59c58.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8353657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Fiona Crawley61c56.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0436743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Julia Riera55c53.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.112,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.