Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Colton Smith vs Michael Zheng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x082f733d297b85452320d2bc33aeb64514a8ce9356a9a9c0aa11726c2adc16e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Zhengof Colton Smith, Michael Zheng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Michael Zheng | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Colton Smith | 40c | 2,662$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.96 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Michael Zheng | 59c | 2,542$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.09 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Colton Smith | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 370 | 44.3%164 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michael Zheng | 68c | 1,846$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Colton Smith | 44c | 1,595$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.78 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed Colton Smith | 9c | 1,113$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Michael Zheng | 58c | 1,041$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.66 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Zheng | 72c | 1,031$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Colton Smith | 29c | 1,000$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Colton Smith | 42c | 999.99$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.55 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colton Smith | 20c | 941.34$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Colton Smith | 18c | 855.24$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Michael Zheng | 71c | 816.26$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.73 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Michael Zheng | 61c | 783.21$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.66 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Colton Smith | 40c | 754.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Colton Smith | 42c | 752.86$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.69 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Colton Smith | 40c | 748.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Colton Smith | 19c | 639.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Colton Smith | 42c | 600$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.45 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Colton Smith | 26c | 599.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.79 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Colton Smith | 41c | 558.96$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.79 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Michael Zheng | 77c | 530$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Michael Zheng | 68c | 529.32$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Colton Smith | 42c | 519.5$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Colton Smith | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Colton Smith | 47c | 427.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Michael Zheng | 68c | 420.67$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.71 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Colton Smith | 41c | 242.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Colton Smith | 37c | 242.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Colton Smith | 40c | 239.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Michael Zheng | 57c | 231$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…3ed2backed Michael Zheng | 60c | 230.96$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Michael Zheng | 73c | 220.17$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Michael Zheng | 57c | 210$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Colton Smith | 44c | 194.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Michael Zheng | 62c | 194.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Colton Smith | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Colton Smith | 38c | 181.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Michael Zheng | 62c | 179.61$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Michael Zheng | 56c | 179.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Michael Zheng | 58c | 178.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Colton Smith | 21c | 174.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colton Smith | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Michael Zheng | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Michael Zheng | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Colton Smith | 14c | 164.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Colton Smith | 42c | 154.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Michael Zheng | 78c | 153.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Colton Smith | 22c | 143.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Colton Smith | 40c | 137.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…d0e7backed Michael Zheng | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…6d75backed Colton Smith | 40c | 132.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Michael Zheng | 58c | 128.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Colton Smith | 41c | 125.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Colton Smith | 39c | 121.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…911dbacked Michael Zheng | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 326 | 75.2%245 W · 81 L | +20.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Michael Zheng | 56c | 116.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Michael Zheng | 71c | 112.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Colton Smith | 42c | 111.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Colton Smith | 45c | 108.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Colton Smith | 39c | 101.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Colton Smith | 41c | 100.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Michael Zheng | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Michael Zheng | 62c | 99.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Michael Zheng | 60c | 97.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Colton Smith | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Colton Smith | 40c | 92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…79a0backed Michael Zheng | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Michael Zheng | 79c | 84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Colton Smith | 16c | 83.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Michael Zheng | 69c | 75.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Michael Zheng | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 220 | 59.5%131 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Michael Zheng | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Colton Smith | 38c | 74.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Colton Smith | 16c | 73.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Colton Smith | 29c | 72.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Michael Zheng | 58c | 71.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Michael Zheng | 55c | 70.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…9eccbacked Colton Smith | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Michael Zheng | 60c | 59.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Colton Smith | 31c | 57.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Michael Zheng | 61c | 57.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Colton Smith | 44c | 56.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Michael Zheng | 54c | 51.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Michael Zheng | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Michael Zheng | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Colton Smith | 23c | 47.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Colton Smith | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Colton Smith | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Colton Smith | 30c | 44.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Colton Smith | 29c | 43.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Michael Zheng | 68c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Colton Smith | 47c | 40.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Michael Zheng | 61c | 40.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Colton Smith | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked Michael Zheng | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -16.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Colton Smith | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Michael Zheng | 77c | 39.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Colton Smith | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.