Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe62ae3c1b2779b7de1dc9248727d772a27afd28cec044f9459a72b3f7ad1e097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amelie Justine Hejtmanekof Marianne Argyrokastriti, Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marianne Argyrokastriti | 17c | 820.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 39c | 498.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.95 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marianne Argyrokastriti | 57c | 182.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Marianne Argyrokastriti | 29c | 138.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Marianne Argyrokastriti | 29c | 107.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marianne Argyrokastriti | 23c | 88.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Marianne Argyrokastriti | 26c | 83.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9cbdbacked Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Marianne Argyrokastriti | 66c | 43.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Marianne Argyrokastriti | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 76c | 27.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Marianne Argyrokastriti | 57c | 27.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 70c | 25.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d92…48e4backed Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 76c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.