Euroleague · resolved market
BC Dubai vs. Monaco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4b5a9d8e858a17f67c494319a3f72d2b41c9e24881a9d6fcda6548d8172786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC Dubaiof BC Dubai, Monaco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked BC Dubai | 74c | 4,635$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.3 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked BC Dubai | 73c | 3,516$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.75 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Monaco | 37c | 2,681$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.63 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed BC Dubai | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed BC Dubai | 75c | 1,350$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…0bc4backed BC Dubai | 62c | 1,020$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monaco | 31c | 882.37$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.56 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Monaco | 29c | 768.5$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.76 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked BC Dubai | 62c | 697.77$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Monaco | 37c | 642.17$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed BC Dubai | 74c | 473.26$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.52 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Monaco | 19c | 440.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Monaco | 20c | 381.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Monaco | 27c | 368.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Monaco | 23c | 322.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed BC Dubai | 68c | 320.49$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Monaco | 33c | 320.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked BC Dubai | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…0d31backed Monaco | 37c | 301.92$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked Monaco | 16c | 296.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BC Dubai | 71c | 282.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Monaco | 35c | 279.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Monaco | 32c | 257.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monaco | 24c | 251.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Monaco | 24c | 212.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Monaco | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Monaco | 30c | 194.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…43c1backed Monaco | 28c | 172.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…aa3fbacked BC Dubai | 63c | 159.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…1c2cbacked Monaco | 24c | 159.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked BC Dubai | 66c | 158.81$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Monaco | 38c | 152.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monaco | 31c | 150.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked BC Dubai | 68c | 143.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed BC Dubai | 67c | 142.64$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Monaco | 38c | 121.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BC Dubai | 68c | 115.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Monaco | 38c | 111.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BC Dubai | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Monaco | 20c | 101.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked BC Dubai | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed BC Dubai | 63c | 98.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…c249backed Monaco | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed BC Dubai | 57c | 91.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Monaco | 39c | 89.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Monaco | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Monaco | 15c | 82.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked BC Dubai | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Monaco | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbc…51c7backed Monaco | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked BC Dubai | 73c | 69.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +11.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BC Dubai | 72c | 68.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Monaco | 32c | 68.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Monaco | 37c | 66.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Monaco | 33c | 66.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Monaco | 38c | 66.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…828fbacked Monaco | 42c | 66.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Monaco | 37c | 63.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Monaco | 32c | 62.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…4c52backed BC Dubai | 80c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Monaco | 34c | 61.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed BC Dubai | 65c | 54.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Monaco | 36c | 53.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Monaco | 31c | 53.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Monaco | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked BC Dubai | 58c | 49.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Monaco | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked BC Dubai | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BC Dubai | 71c | 43.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…ed49backed BC Dubai | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Monaco | 31c | 32.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Monaco | 41c | 28.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…5813backed Monaco | 38c | 26.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BC Dubai | 65c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.