CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71fafcad49342aa377f6b7252feb76606fba9194b7356ee12c5aca908f6b4a42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked MIBR | 65c | 6,500$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ShindeN | 22c | 3,325$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.62 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ShindeN | 24c | 2,967$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ShindeN | 27c | 1,600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.09 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed ShindeN | 27c | 1,302$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.51 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ShindeN | 22c | 1,169$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ShindeN | 21c | 949.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ShindeN | 22c | 773.49$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.19 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MIBR | 78c | 758.13$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.13 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked MIBR | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed MIBR | 74c | 655.22$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed ShindeN | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed ShindeN | 28c | 529.43$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…1a3abacked ShindeN | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ShindeN | 28c | 498.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked ShindeN | 5c | 444$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 163 | 11.7%19 W · 144 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed MIBR | 74c | 432.43$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.43 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MIBR | 69c | 426.82$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed MIBR | 73c | 410.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ShindeN | 16c | 405.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ShindeN | 25c | 395.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed MIBR | 72c | 372.64$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ShindeN | 26c | 367.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked ShindeN | 27c | 344$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed MIBR | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed MIBR | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MIBR | 71c | 267.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked MIBR | 79c | 235.1$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed ShindeN | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed MIBR | 72c | 223.67$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ShindeN | 25c | 222$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked MIBR | 72c | 218.78$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed MIBR | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked ShindeN | 12c | 195.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed ShindeN | 28c | 178.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed ShindeN | 29c | 175.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed ShindeN | 33c | 161$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ShindeN | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed ShindeN | 29c | 143.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed ShindeN | 10c | 143$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ShindeN | 21c | 134.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MIBR | 77c | 130.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked ShindeN | 22c | 128.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…f34abacked MIBR | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ShindeN | 23c | 115.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed ShindeN | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ShindeN | 31c | 110.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed ShindeN | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed ShindeN | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN | 22c | 102.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked MIBR | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed ShindeN | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ShindeN | 19c | 89.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked ShindeN | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN | 24c | 81.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed MIBR | 72c | 68.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed ShindeN | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516b…2dcfbacked MIBR | 74c | 66.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed ShindeN | 26c | 62.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MIBR | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed ShindeN | 29c | 51.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked ShindeN | 30c | 50.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ShindeN | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…637abacked MIBR | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ShindeN | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ShindeN | 30c | 41.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed MIBR | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…1b89backed MIBR | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed MIBR | 74c | 25.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed MIBR | 72c | 20.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked MIBR | 73c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.