CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bb4d37fcb7637aeeddcf4976fc84a3af02f6544cac034eaa95860eb3a767b13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ShindeN | 33c | 4,803$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.45 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed MIBR | 62c | 3,770$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.29 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ShindeN | 32c | 2,870$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.16 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked MIBR | 69c | 1,829$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.44 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6001backed MIBR | 78c | 1,676$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.86 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MIBR | 73c | 1,666$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.06 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ShindeN | 29c | 1,545$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.09 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked ShindeN | 43c | 1,521$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.85 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ShindeN | 2c | 965.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked ShindeN | 49c | 915.92$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MIBR | 70c | 910.3$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.39 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed ShindeN | 33c | 903.96$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.31 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ShindeN | 33c | 898.44$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.96 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ShindeN | 44c | 898.43$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.45 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ShindeN | 36c | 800$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.42 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ShindeN | 33c | 729.04$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.15 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked ShindeN | 14c | 713.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ShindeN | 36c | 682.03$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.59 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed MIBR | 67c | 601.63$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.01 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked ShindeN | 47c | 491.83$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.06 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed ShindeN | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MIBR | 64c | 439.65$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.82 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ShindeN | 24c | 398.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ShindeN | 34c | 389.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ShindeN | 33c | 376.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MIBR | 65c | 338$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed ShindeN | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed MIBR | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ShindeN | 29c | 230.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ShindeN | 38c | 226.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed MIBR | 77c | 224.6$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked MIBR | 47c | 221.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed MIBR | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR | 70c | 171.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed MIBR | 69c | 170.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ShindeN | 24c | 165.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MIBR | 68c | 153.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed ShindeN | 41c | 145.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked MIBR | 56c | 141.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ShindeN | 45c | 131.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN | 36c | 127$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed ShindeN | 32c | 114.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed ShindeN | 40c | 111.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed ShindeN | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ShindeN | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ShindeN | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ShindeN | 35c | 95.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MIBR | 71c | 89.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed ShindeN | 49c | 85.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed ShindeN | 49c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed ShindeN | 34c | 73.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed ShindeN | 27c | 73.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed MIBR | 71c | 71.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ShindeN | 37c | 65.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed ShindeN | 34c | 64.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MIBR | 72c | 60.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked ShindeN | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed ShindeN | 45c | 58.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked ShindeN | 48c | 53.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed ShindeN | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ShindeN | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked ShindeN | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked MIBR | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed ShindeN | 32c | 46.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ShindeN | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…d118backed MIBR | 77c | 41.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 44 | 86.4%38 W · 6 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked ShindeN | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ShindeN | 37c | 37.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed MIBR | 47c | 33.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed MIBR | 61c | 32.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked MIBR | 48c | 30.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ShindeN | 39c | 30.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIBR | 66c | 28.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ShindeN | 40c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed MIBR | 68c | 23.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MIBR | 68c | 23.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked MIBR | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.