CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9643dd54525eabaf28b5d96a5ad723f64627a4b047763ed751d3dd8e49557f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked MIBR | 69c | 4,176$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.41 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ShindeN | 28c | 3,773$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.37 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ShindeN | 23c | 2,771$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.14 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ShindeN | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked MIBR | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed ShindeN | 31c | 952.29$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ShindeN | 31c | 499.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.27 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…1a34backed ShindeN | 38c | 407.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed ShindeN | 28c | 376.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed MIBR | 71c | 364.55$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ShindeN | 29c | 301.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ShindeN | 20c | 283.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ShindeN | 20c | 205$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ShindeN | 24c | 192$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ShindeN | 20c | 173.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed ShindeN | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ShindeN | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed MIBR | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed ShindeN | 30c | 65.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ShindeN | 27c | 58.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ShindeN | 27c | 50.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked MIBR | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN | 34c | 43.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MIBR | 75c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ShindeN | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed MIBR | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MIBR | 66c | 29.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed MIBR | 66c | 26.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…8861backed MIBR | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked MIBR | 66c | 15.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.