South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x844e5685f2625c78bf9c2d03a60123e618c905484aee6fb4b67ef7e93b1f21fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 5,726$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 5,100$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.98 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 28c | 4,196$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.42 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Yes | 43c | 1,546$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 1,491$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.76 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 1,012$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.82 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 829.71$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.87 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 649.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 57c | 444.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.34 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 43c | 221.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 75c | 168$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 72c | 159$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 70c | 154.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 71c | 129.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 14c | 124.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 57c | 84.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 38c | 72.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 57c | 65.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 57c | 65.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 70c | 63.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 52.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 66c | 52.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 73c | 44.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed No | 74c | 22.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 71c | 21.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 72c | 21.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 58c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 74c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: CS Independiente Rivadavia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.