South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x637a08e5b7c703af5db4f453d390222abec803e1713e96d007e51acdbec30c79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 7,512$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 34c | 3,269$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.39 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 40c | 3,170$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.42 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 2,961$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.52 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 2,602$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 2,596$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.76 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 37c | 1,641$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.77 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 22c | 1,528$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.86 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 1,207$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.98 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 69c | 973.64$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.15 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 680.14$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…984abacked Under | 11c | 613.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 71c | 370.97$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…a2c7backed Under | 10c | 365.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 318.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 44c | 317.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.82 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 55c | 306$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 59c | 233.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 27c | 214.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 61c | 190.11$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 54c | 188.77$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 69c | 187.27$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 177.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over | 59c | 169.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +93%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 59c | 169.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 53c | 159.11$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 19c | 149$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 69c | 143.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 34c | 136.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 63c | 135.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 78c | 130$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 45c | 125.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 36c | 117$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 46c | 116.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 41c | 112.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 50c | 103.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 93.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 92.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 35c | 92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 54c | 89.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 80.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 67c | 74.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 33c | 67.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 33c | 58.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 63c | 57.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 35c | 57.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 63c | 54.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked Over | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…e1d9backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 67c | 36.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 65c | 33.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 28.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 28.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 64c | 26.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 46c | 25.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…fd46backed Over | 46c | 24.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 64c | 20.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 67c | 19.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 68c | 18.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 63c | 16.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 68c | 14.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: CS Independiente Rivadavia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.