Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3101e1e0a13283b82a0352d9972b9bc94eeebfd0307c0bb3e5ec40e3a04ad5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Yes | 46c | 1,393$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 1,209$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.71 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 494.88$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…2b82backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…df56backed Yes | 65c | 349.23$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…71e4backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 42c | 159.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 42c | 134.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 45c | 134.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 47c | 98.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 48c | 90.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 49c | 70.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 23c | 68.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 41c | 57.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 41c | 55.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 47c | 40.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked No | 43c | 39.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 67c | 27.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 45c | 26.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 49c | 26.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 45c | 24.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: Hibernian FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)Motherwell FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.