South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36375b7684adda0616f56e5dd7419567d4e3849de5c2304910fdd60a251172f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 29c | 50,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,499.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 50c | 24,168$12,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,995.6 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 18,687$12,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,271.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Over | 51c | 17,365$8,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,869.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 70c | 12,535$8,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.96 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 37c | 5,181$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.22 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 46c | 4,271$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.54 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 46c | 3,975$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.23 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 39c | 3,642$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.9 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 68c | 3,104$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.26 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 2,171$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.2 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 54c | 1,263$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 1,190$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.84 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 47c | 1,138$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.86 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 1,079$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.97 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 1,039$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.95 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 68c | 782.83$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.98 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 696.02$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.85 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 66c | 691.94$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.71 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 66c | 669.72$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 50c | 604.76$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.38 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 55c | 531.83$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.77 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 505$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.06 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 441.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 47c | 368.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 66c | 292.06$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 277.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 53c | 259.95$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 67c | 210.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 47c | 205.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 186.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 67c | 186.2$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Over | 46c | 104.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 72c | 104.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 87.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 71c | 69.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 53c | 58.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 54c | 48.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 75c | 47.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 64c | 45.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 45.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Over | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 60c | 39.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 65c | 36.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 54c | 35.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 67c | 34.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 67c | 31.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 41c | 29.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e62…716ebacked Under | 69c | 28.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 69c | 24.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 68c | 23.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 65c | 21.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Under | 71c | 20.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 75c | 20.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a2…f670backed Under | 74c | 20.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 55c | 19.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Under | 71c | 16.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: CA Tigre O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-2.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.