South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34ff8d42c535a3698616b79f95c70a86d5c4d939e9401fde842c22be59cb7ee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 5,001$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.14 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 21c | 3,991$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.93 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 67c | 3,497$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.7 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 59c | 3,471$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.04 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 2,515$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.19 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 51c | 2,445$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.35 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 27c | 2,419$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.01 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 72c | 1,932$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.77 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 74c | 1,923$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.78 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 60c | 1,880$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.82 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 39c | 1,795$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.71 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 50c | 1,713$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.16 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Over | 73c | 1,568$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.97 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 44c | 1,481$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.75 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 20c | 1,150$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.3 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 1,107$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.81 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 55c | 1,058$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.11 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked Over | 12c | 928.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 69c | 909.54$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.47 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 42c | 872.16$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 29c | 795.56$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.46 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 21c | 756.75$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 673.79$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.66 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 68c | 521.75$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Over | 50c | 510.77$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.26 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 32c | 505.25$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.09 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 69c | 457.82$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.16 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 33c | 422.83$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.46 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 46c | 356.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.36 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Over | 66c | 271.06$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.69 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed Over | 58c | 248.23$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 31c | 229.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 72c | 229.09$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.39 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 23c | 208.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.83 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 35c | 206.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 28c | 205$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 199.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 197.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 35c | 197.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 50c | 165.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 12c | 160.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Under | 50c | 145.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 28c | 144.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 18c | 138.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 24c | 130.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 46c | 105.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 28c | 96.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 43c | 90.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 82.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 28c | 81.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 77c | 75.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 58c | 62.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 32c | 59.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Over | 73c | 55.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 65c | 49.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Under | 79c | 45.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 31c | 35.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 37c | 34.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 65c | 33.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 0.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: CA Tigre O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-2.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.