South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c8e029d620000fbd228d23e14827bcf76da6f92157dccd9dfca51cb5c3c7e9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Yes | 25c | 33,842$8,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,321.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 26,446$19,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,868.73 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 3,651$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 78c | 3,526$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.32 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,935$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.16 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 893.96$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.13 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 36c | 873$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.3 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 683.68$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.72 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 500.03$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 425.05$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 411.53$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 360.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 286.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 18c | 244.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 75c | 169.53$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 36c | 134.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 121.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 64c | 90.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Yes | 37c | 78.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 74c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 36c | 45.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 79c | 34.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 34c | 31.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed No | 63c | 31.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…8525backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed No | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 80c | 18.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 75c | 17.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: CA Tigre O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-2.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.